Forecast news: Warm and dry this week, snow for Colorado on the weekend? #CODrought

From the Summit County Citizens Voice (Bob Berwyn):

…it’s too early to tell exactly where the snow will fall. For now, the forecast models are predicting that a vigorous cold front will cross Colorado Friday night into Saturday, bringing the best chance for snow. Until then, seasonable to warmer-than-average temperatures will prevail across the high country, with Tuesday and Wednesday likely to be the warmest days, with highs in the mid-50s, potentially flirting with record territory mid-week…

The pattern change will begin Wednesday as a Gulf of Alaska low pressure starts to move into the Great Basin. Ahead of the system, the flow will be from the Southwest, bringing the warm temperatures mid-week…

If the trough splits, as sometimes happens during El Niños, it’s possible that the bulk of the energy could pass to the north and south of the I-70 corridor.

From The Denver Post (Joey Bunch):

After Denver moves into striking range for record high temperatures at midweek, temperatures are expected to plummet to near freezing with a slight chance of snow next weekend, forecasters said Sunday…

Western Colorado’s weather will ride the same arc as Denver’s with warm, sunny days this week giving way to chilly temperatures and snow as a cold front approaches from the northwest…

The system could bring much-needed snow to the high country, as the state’s snowpack continues to lag behind for a second year in a row. Statewide snowpack Friday was just 55 percent of its 30-year average for this time of year, and jut 59 percent in the ski resort-heavy Colorado River basin.

Denver, however, received 5.5 inches of snow during October, which was 1.5 inches above the average of 4 inches. After March, November is Denver’s second-snowiest month, averaging 8.7 inches annually since 1981, according to the National Weather Service.

From The Grand Junction Daily Sentinel (Duffy Hayes):

If three months constitutes a cycle, in terms of the weather, then the data collected by area weather-watchers for October show the region wrapped up a dry and warm one over the past few months. The .29 inch of precipitation measured near Grand Junction Regional Airport in the month of October was well below the average of 1.06 inches for the month — a continuation from the previous two.

“The last three months, we’ve been about three-fourths of an inch below normal (in terms of monthly precipitation),” said Dan Cuevas, technician with the local office of the National Weather Service. Cuevas said that September’s precipitation count of .46 inch was a full .72 inch below that month’s average. Further, August was similarly dry, clocking in with just .16 inch of moisture — which was .79 inch short of average.

October’s average daily temperature was actually a bit lower than average — 52.8 degrees, versus the average 53 degrees — but the region is back to some warmer temperatures. “We’ve started off (November) with a warm, dry pattern,” Cuevas said. “We’re going to stay under the influence of high pressure through most of the week.” That includes Tuesday — Election Day — when many people will be headed to local polling places. The forecast looks beautiful, with mostly sunny skies and high temperatures expected in the mid- to upper-60s.

Cuevas said the trend might be short-lived, though. “We’re watching what looks like it could be a pretty good storm system coming in by the weekend — giving us some rain, possibly some snow at lower elevations, but certainly cooling things off,” he said.

From The Greeley Tribune:

An uneventful weather pattern is shaping up across northern Colorado for the next several days. Expect dry conditions and mild temperatures. This afternoon’s high will reach the low to mid 60s in the Greeley area. Sunshine will mix with passing clouds. Fair skies are in store for tonight as lows fall to the upper 30s.

Election Day weather will also be tranquil, causing no weather­related concerns in getting to the polls.

It will remain dry through Friday, when computer models are hinting at the next opportunity for some unsettled weather. This would be the next chance for some decent mountain snow to return to the forecast.

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