The latest seasonal outlooks through April 30, 2026 are hot off the presses from the #Climate Prediction Center

Bureau of ReclamationĀ Aspinall Unit Coordination Meeting February 11, 2026 #GunnisonRiver

Aspinall Unit dams

From email from Reclamation Reece K. Carpenter:

January 14, 2026

In order to avoid conflict with Colorado Water Congress the first Aspinall Coordination Meeting of 2026 is being rescheduled.

The next coordination meeting for the operation of the Aspinall Unit is rescheduled for Wednesday, February 11th 2026, at 1:30 pm

This meeting will be held at the Western Colorado Area Office in Grand Junction, CO. There will also be an option for virtual attendance via Microsoft Teams. A link to the Teams meeting is below. 

The meeting agenda will include updates on current snowpack, forecasts for spring runoff conditions and spring peak operations, and the weather outlook.

Kick the (#coal) can down the road to 2040?: #ColoradoSprings Utilities wants legislation to let it delay retirement of its last coal-burning unit. It will face a fight among environmental groupsĀ — Allen Best (BigPivots.com)

Ray Nixon power plant. Photo credit: Colorado Springs Utilities

Click the link to read the article on the Big Pivots website (Allen Best):

January 13, 2026

Colorado Springs Utilities stands alone among the electrical utilities in Colorado in saying that it cannot meet its 2030 greenhouse gas reduction targets.

CSU wants to keep the coal-burning unit at the Ray Nixon Plant operating beyond its 2029 scheduled retirement. Four state legislators, two of them Democrats, say they will introduce a bill in the legislative session that begins on Wednesday to do just that.

This proposed bill, according to the draft dated Jan. 5, would require CSU, other municipal utilities and electrical cooperatives to potentially delay meeting the target until 2040, a decade later. They must currently reduce emissions 80% by 2030 as compared to 2005 levels. See 2030 Emission Reduction Goal Challenges (Draft 1-6)

The existing state deadlines would have all but one coal-burning unit in Colorado retired by the end of 2029, leaving only Comanche 3 in Pueblo to operate until the end of 2030. That unit is operated by Xcel Energy and owned by Xcel with two electrical cooperatives as minority owners. It is currently down for repairs.

Colorado Springs began saying almost a year ago that it could not secure enough renewable generation at acceptable prices to meet the carbon-reduction goal. Bids on renewable projects had come in 30% to 50% higher than expected.

Travas Deal, the chief executive of CSU, reiterated his argument at a press conference on Monday. Achieving the deadline of 80% greenhouse gas reductions by 2030 without risking reliability and affordability for the homes, businesses, hospitals and military installations that rely upon electricity from CSU has become increasingly challenging.

He called for a ā€œmeasured approach.ā€

A major theme is that renewables cost more money, and the cost is being borne by people who cannot afford rising electricity bills. The draft bill hammers this point from several directions.

The bill being readied for introduction would allow CSU to notify the state’s Air Pollution Control Division by the end of May that it expects to be unable to hit the 2030 goal and why. It would then have until the end of 2026 to come up with a new plan for achieving the goal no later than 2040.

This timeline, said Deal, would ā€œus more time to secure reliable and affordable replacement power for the coal-powered unit at the Nixon power plant currently mandated to retire in 2029.ā€

But why is Colorado Springs alone among Colorado utilities in wanting a legislative extension? Deal was asked that question twice during a press conference on Monday afternoon, once by this correspondent. After all, United Power left Tri-State less than two years ago and has managed to add both renewable generation and a gas-fired power plant. United has robust growth in electrical demand. And, if not as large as Colorado Springs, United has113,000 members — many of them industrial users with healthy electrical appetites.

Deal answered that United has the capacity to get electricity from Tri-State Generation and Transmission Association, of which it was formerly a member.

That was not a satisfying answer, although it’s possible that transmission constraints might preclude CSU from buying power from Tri-State as United is now doing.

Might Tri-State or other electrical cooperatives quietly be supporting this move to soften the deadlines for closing coal plants? Big Pivots did reach out to Tri-State to request an interview, but did not get a response on Monday.

As for Xcel, this bill would not apply to it or to Black Hills Energy, Colorado’s other privately owned electrical utility.

Standing out in this proposal is the bipartisan support, two Republicans and two Democrats. All but one of them are from El Paso County. One of the two Republicans, Sen. Cleave Simpson, of Alamosa, is the Senate minority leader.

Most striking was a statement made by Sen. Marc Snyder, a Democrat from Manitou Springs. He pointed out that in a ā€œlifetime ago,ā€ when he was mayor of Manitou, the city — which is supplied by CSU — was able to achieve 100% renewables. He said it was Colorado’s first home-rule municipality to do so.

(Aspen, which is also home rule, did so in 2015; when Manitou Springs did it Snyder did not say. In both cases, they presumably did so with the artifice of renewable energy credits.)

Rep. Amy Paschall, also a Democrat, proclaimed her environmental actions. ā€œI recycle, I drive an electric vehicle and I have solar panels on my roof,ā€ she said. She added that she suffers from asthma and has a child who has asthma. As such, she said, attaining ozone reduction ā€œisn’t just an abstract policy discussion. It directly affects our health and our quality of life.ā€

So why is she adding her name to this bill?

ā€œBecause it aims to strike the delicate balance between affordability, reliability and clean energy in Colorado Springs,ā€ she answered. This bill will seek to achieve the ā€œright balance.ā€

State Rep. Jarvis Caldwell, a Republican (and House minority leader), did not disown the need for an energy transition from fuels that produce emissions, but did characterize current goals as unrealistic.

ā€œWhat you are seeing now is a growing gap between intention and reality,ā€ said Caldwell. ā€œOver the last several years, the Legislature has set aggressive energy mandates without fully grappling with what those mandates mean for the people who are expected to pay the bill.ā€

For many households, he said, energy costs are not an abstract policy debate. They are a monthly decision between paying the power bill or cutting back somewhere else.

The energy transition, he said, is ā€œbeing rushedā€ and called the timelines ā€œunrealistic.ā€ And Caldwell further charged that reliability is treated as an afterthought.

ā€œThe result is higher prices and a more fragile system. That is not responsible governance.ā€

Caldwell said that both he and Paschal had meet with the Democratic majority leadership. ā€œWe didn’t get any commitments necessarily from them, but they heard our concerns and they heard our reasoning, and they were receptive to it,ā€ he said. He also said there had been discussions with Gov. Jared Polis.

Sounds like a compelling argument. Does the rhetoric overlook subtleties?

All or nearly all utilities have or propose to raise their electric rates, and for a complicated stew of reasons. In some cases, they need to reinvest in delivery infrastructure. It’s not all investment in renewable energy to replace fossil fuel generation. In fact, in most cases, renewables reduce costs to consumers, because the fuel in renewables is free. But yes, rates are rising.

Renewables do need transmission — and more of it. And transmission is difficult and expensive.

Colorado Springs has high-voltage transmission lines for its fossil fuel plants. Deal said the best wind lies in Wyoming and hence CSU would be best served by transmission lines along the Front Range — a challenge, as is witnessed by the problems Xcel Energy is having in getting electricity from El Paso County to Aurora. As always, though, that is a more complicated story than this simple sentence. See ā€œHighways of Electricity,ā€ Big Pivots, Jan. 4, 2026).

And Deal’s answer overlooks the fact that Colorado’s best wind resources lie in southeastern Colorado.

Big Pivots asked Deal if CSU would be struggling less if it had better transmission. ā€œTransmission may not have alleviated everything on day one, but it would give us a lot more options,ā€ he replied.

He added that joining the Southwest Power Pool, an organization formed to facilitate energy sharing within a region, will provide a ā€œbig toolā€ for CSU to connect to renewable resources. But again, that will require transmission, although the precise needs remain uncertain.

As for data centers, what part are they of this Colorado Springs story? Is CSU expecting to miss its greenhouse gas reduction deadline because it doesn’t want to miss out on the economic development potential in artificial intelligence centers.

Hard to say, although perhaps tellingly, the video event in Colorado Springs included Johnna Reeder Kleymeyer, from the Colorado Springs Chamber and Economic Development Commission. ā€œThis proposed legislation recognizes one simple truth,ā€ she said. ā€œEconomic growth and sustainability have to work in concert, not in conflict.ā€

A reporter from Colorado Public Radio, however, did ask a decent question: Would CSU consider requiring agreements with large-load users, including data centers, to be on hold until the utility could get closer to the current clean energy goal?

ā€œWe would never want to close the door on any opportunity there, but I think that’s something that the legislation has to look at, as for us to continue to support growth in our communities, have jobs, and look at those revenue streams come in,ā€ Deal answer.

As for data centers, they do require a lot of electricity without generating a large number of jobs, he added, as compared to another large-level manufacturer. ā€œSo we try not to get into what the (electric) load is as much as what the community benefit is and how we can best serve them.ā€

Colorado Springs, perhaps not incidentally, in December announced that it would become home to a Coca-Cola bottling plant that will require $475 million in capital investment and generate 170 new jobs.

Snyder, the legislator from Manitou Springs, said the bill was being drawn up after consultation with stakeholders. The Sierra Club said it was not among those consulted.

ā€œCSU is the only utility in Colorado to ask for a special exemption from Colorado’s environmental standards that protect public health and our climate,ā€ said Margaret Kran-Annexstein, director of the Colorado Chapter of the Sierra Club.

Conservation Colorado, in a statement, said CSU should not be rewarded for ā€œbroken promises and poor planning.ā€

ā€œAfter years of failing to plan for replacement resources, Colorado Springs Utilities (CSU) wants to break its promise and remain one of Colorado’s largest polluters,ā€ said Paul Sherman, the organization’s climate campaign manager.

Unlike the Sierra Club, Conservation Colorado had participated in discussions with CSU. Sherman said his organization had communicated its concerns. ā€œNone of the substantive concerns we raised were addressed in the draft that CSU and bill sponsors released this afternoon,ā€ Sherman said. ā€œAs currently drafted, Conservation Colorado will be opposing this legislation.ā€

Season’s #snowpack remains meager (January 18, 2026) with little moisture in sight — The #GrandJunction Daily Sentinel #Colorado

Westwide SNOTEL basin-filled map January 17, 2026 via the NRCS

Click the link to read the article on The Grand Junction Daily Sentinel website (Dennis Webbs). Here’s an excerpt:

January 14 2026

Colorado’s snowpack levels remain meager so far this winter season, with little moisture in the near-term local forecast in a year when water managers can scarcely afford a poor spring runoff season due to low storage levels downstream in Lake Powell. The state’s snowpack stood at 63% of median as of Tuesday, according to the federal Natural Resources Conservation Service. Levels range from 76-77% in some basins in far-northern Colorado to 58% in the Colorado River headwaters and just 50% in the Arkansas River basin. The Gunnison River Basin is at 63% of median.

The NRCS said in a news release that warm and dry conditions have led to the below-normal snowpack conditions. Climatologist Allie Mazurek with The Colorado Climate Center said in a December blog post that September-November was the fourth-warmest on record for that period for Colorado, with November in specific being third-warmest on record. Some Western Slope locations had their warmest fall on record, Mazurek wrote. The conditions have challenged ski resorts that have opened later, and with limited terrain. But Powderhorn Mountain Resort announced Saturday that it would be boosting its operations through the opening of its West End Lift the following day, following a 15-inch storm and cooler temperatures that allowed around-the-clock snowmaking.

The Arkansas Valley Conduit project has about three years of cash left to keep building, despite President Trump’s veto — Jerd Smith (Fresh Water News) #ArkansasRiver #ColoradoRiver #COriver #aridification

Arkansas Valley Conduit map via the Southeastern Colorado Water Conservancy District (Chris Woodka) June 2021.

Click the link to read the article on the Water Education Colorado website (Jerd Smith):

January 15, 2026

Water officials and Colorado’s congressional reps are scrambling to find an affordable path forward for communities in the Lower Arkansas Valley who had hoped the federal government would help them lower their costs for a critical clean water pipeline.

President Trump vetoed the bipartisan Finish the Arkansas Valley Conduit Act on New Year’s Eve, and despite Colorado’s efforts, Congress failed to override the veto last week.

Construction on the $1.39 billion pipeline began in 2023. There’s enough money left from the $500 million appropriated by Congress to continue building for another three to five years, according to Bill Long, president of the board for the Pueblo-based Southeastern Water Conservancy District. The district operates the federal Fryingpan-Arkansas Project and is overseeing pipeline construction for the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation.

That means the pipeline should eventually reach Rocky Ford, a point roughly halfway between its start east of Pueblo Reservoir and its endpoint farther east, near Lamar. ā€œIt’s when we get to the second half of the project where it will be challenging to build and repay our portion of the debt,ā€ Long said. ā€œWithout this legislation, there will be a point where we will have to stop.ā€

What comes next isn’t clear yet, though members of Colorado’s congressional delegation and water officials in the Lower Arkansas Valley said they are evaluating their options for taking another run at the issue in Congress.

ā€œObviously things are up in the air,ā€ Long said.

ā€œSooner rather than later we may be looking at a new piece of legislation, but the question is, would this administration be amenable to a new piece of legislation. If we can’t find something, we may have to wait this administration out,ā€ he said.

Pueblo Dam. Photo courtesy of Colorado Parks and Wildlife

Waiting for clean water in the Lower Arkansas Valley is nothing new.

First envisioned as part of the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation’s Fryingpan-Arkansas Project in 1962, the pipeline languished on paper for decades because of high costs. The 130-mile pipeline serves 39 communities.

The need for clean water in the Lower Arkansas Valley became apparent in the 1950s and earlier, by some accounts, when wells drilled near the Arkansas River were showing a range of toxic elements, including naturally occurring radium and selenium. Both can cause severe health problems, including bone cancer and lung issues if high amounts are consumed.

Without safe drinking water, towns in the region have either had to haul water or install expensive reverse osmosis plants to purify their contaminated well water.

Things changed on the stalled project in 2023, when Congress directed some $500 million toward the pipeline.

The legislation would have gone further, allowing the repayment terms on the loans from the federal government to be extended to 75 years, up from 50 years, and to cut interest rates in half, from 3.046% to 1.523%. The legislation also would have allowed the project to be classified as one of hardship, a move that may have allowed the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation to forgive some loan payments if a case for economic hardship could have been made.

The conduit project is also partially funded with grants and loans from state agencies, including the Colorado Water Resources and Power Development Authority.

ā€œThe act was an important step in making this project affordable,ā€ said Keith McLaughlin, executive director of the Colorado Water Resources and Power Development Authority, one of the agencies helping fund the work.

ā€œObviously we’re disappointed,ā€ he said.

Colorado politicos say they’re still working to push legislation through. The bipartisan act was sponsored by Colorado Republican U.S. Reps. Lauren Boebert and Jeff Hurd in the U.S. House and Democratic U.S. Sens. John Hickenlooper and Michael Bennet in the U.S. Senate.

Trump’s veto of the measure is widely seen as being the result of ongoing conflicts between his administration and Colorado Gov. Jared Polis, a Democrat, including a request to pardon former Mesa County Clerk Tina Peters, who is serving a nine-year prison term for orchestrating a data breach of the county’s elections equipment violating state elections. Polis so far has declined to intervene in that case, although he did describe the sentence as ā€œharsh,ā€ leading some to speculate that he might commute it. In a statement, Polis said he was hopeful that Congress would ultimately succeed in approving some form of aid to help complete the conduit.

Neither Boebert nor Hurd responded to a request for comment. But Hickenlooper said that all the congressional reps continue to work on a new path forward.

ā€œThe people of southeastern Colorado have waited 60 years for clean, safe drinking water. We’re continuing to work with our partners in the delegation to complete the Arkansas Valley Conduit and deliver on the federal government’s promise,ā€ Hickenlooper said via email.

More by Jerd Smith

Bill signing – H.R. 2206 Public Law 87-590, Frying-Pan-Arkansas Project, Colorado. Photo credit: John F. Kennedy Presidential Library and Museum