From email from the Center for Colorado River Studies:
September 11, 2025
While Colorado River Basin attention is focused on negotiating post-2026 operating rules, a near term crisis is unfolding before our eyes. If no immediate action is taken to reduce water use, our already-thin buffer of storage in Lake Powell and Lake Mead could drop to just 9 percent of the levels with which we started the 21st century.
Water consumption in the Basin continues to outpace the natural supply, further drawing down reservoir levels. While Basin State representatives pursue the elusive goal of a workable and mutually acceptable set of post-2026 operating rules, our review of the latest Bureau of Reclamation data shows that the gap between ongoing water use and the reality of how much water actually flows in the Colorado River poses a serious near term threat. Another year like the one we just had on the Colorado River would nearly exhaust our dwindling reserves.
In a report issued today, we look at total mass balance in the system ā reservoir storage, inflow, and water use ā to help clarify how much water the Basin actually has to work with if next yearās snowmelt runoff is similar to 2025, and the risks if we do not take near term action to reduce our use. The findings are stark.
Document Authors:
- Jack Schmidt,Ā Director, Center for Colorado River Studies, Utah State University, former Chief, Grand Canyon Monitoring and Research Center
- Anne Castle,Ā Getches-Wilkinson Center for Natural Resources, Energy and the Environment, University of Colorado Law School, former US Commissioner, Upper Colorado River Commission, former Assistant Secretary for Water and Science, US Dept. of the Interior
- John Fleck,Ā Writer in Residence, Utton Transboundary Resources Center, University of New Mexico
- Eric Kuhn, Retired General Manager, Colorado River Water Conservation District
- Kathryn Sorensen,Ā Kyl Center for Water Policy, Arizona State University, former Director, Phoenix Water Services
- Katherine Tara,Ā Staff Attorney, Utton Transboundary Resources Center, University of New Mexico













